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Post-Thanksgiving Chill!

Good morning and happy Thanksgiving everyone! Only a single day after we enjoy our family’s company and our turkey dinners, we’ll face a bout of early winter weather.

Very cold air will begin filling in on Friday, just as a rain event will be ending. This will result in a snow chance for Friday and Saturday. Accumulations will likely be light across the area, below 1 inch.

Keep this in mind when traveling from your Thanksgiving gatherings!

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Soggy Turkey Week

Things are kicking into high gear this week for Northwest weather. There’s a number of meteorological elements at play; but the bottom line for folks planning their Thanksgiving week is that it’s going to rain..a lot. A Flood Watch and Hydrological Outlook have been issued by the NWS concerning rivers along the Cascade and Olympic mountains that could reach flood stage by midweek.

I’m going to stick with the upper air “terrain” metaphors for this atmospheric setup because it’s a tricky one. These are the different parts of our meteorological puzzle for this week’s rain event:

  1. A large hill of air (High Pressure) located southwest of California over the Pacific Ocean.
  2. A river of water coursing around the big hill aiming directly at the Northwest. This river carries all the storms and disturbances within it.
  3. A wave of warm air from the north.
  4. Additional waves of cold air later in the week that overrun the warm air, creating more rain.

The atmospheric river trudging around the hill of high pressure is directing copious amounts of moisture into the region while a wave of warm air saturates the upper levels and milks out every drop of rain onto Washington, mostly onto the mountains. As we get to Thanksgiving and later into the week we’ll see some cold air start to envelop the warm moist air, bringing even more rain late into the week.

Day-by-Day forecast:

Tuesday: Heavy, persistent rain dousing the region in the morning. Scattered showers towards the end of the day.

Wednesday: A lull in the weather, mostly dry. Rain begins late at night.

Thanksgiving: It’ll be a soggy Turkey Day, with widespread scattered moderate to heavy showers starting early and lasting throughout the day.

Friday: Rain begins early yet again but fizzles out.

Weekend: Colder air returns, and moisture mostly evacuates.

**Note** Some website forecasts are calling for chances of snow in the lowlands this weekend, however due to the length of time away from the weekend, forecasters are stating “low confidence” in any snow predictions. If there’s a snow event more possible or imminent, you’ll see it posted here on the Puget Sound Weather Geek.

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Washington/Oregon Tornadic Outbreak!

November 23rd 10:30AM: Good morning everyone! We’ve got some crazy weather just south of Puget Sound along the WA/OR coast. Multiple tornado warnings have been issued as strong thunderstorms move onshore harboring strong rotation and possible waterspouts/tornadoes within them. Continue reading

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Active Weather Weekend

It’s going to be one of those mixed bag weather weekends. Friday saw persistent heavy rain, wind, and a good deal of snow in the mountains and passes. Continue reading

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Nature’s Not-So-Subtle Reminder – Week/Weekend Outlook

We’ve stepped into the week before Thanksgiving, and nature’s here to remind us which season we’re in. Our big protective hill of high pressure has broken and moved out; which means things are going to change fast. Out with the chilly temperatures and cloudless skies, and in with the all too familiar overcast, rainy, and breezy. Continue reading

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Mid November Cold/Dry Spell – Internship of a Lifetime!

Hey readers! Here’s a quick update on our weather for the next few days, and I’ll get to some exciting news afterwards. Continue reading

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Incoming Intrusion of Bitter Cold and Winds!

Hey everybody, if you scroll up the page and look at the eight day forecast you’ll notice that the blue temperature bars drop super low starting on Tuesday. Low temperatures are expected to drop into the 20s on Wednesday! What’s going on?! Is it Winter already?! Continue reading

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A Break in the Storms – Chilly Nights Ahead!

We’ve finally received a much needed break from the rainy and stormy weather! A big hill of high pressure developed as Thursday’s storm migrated away. The surface pressure rapidly increased Thursday night and caused high winds to persist much longer than predicted. Winds gusted to over 40mph at Three Tree Point well after 6pm. Continue reading

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Moderate Winds Expected Thursday

A low pressure cyclone is set to landfall on southern Vancouver Island this morning and bring a number of impacts to the region. Continue reading

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Stormy Weather Ahead – Clearing on Friday

Waves of storms supplemented by an atmospheric river have brought breezy and wet weather to the Pacific Northwest. This is essentially business as usual for our corner of the country. Continue reading

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